This budget will only work if business and consumers play ball
-Michelle Grattan This is an extraordinary giveaway budget, driven by desperate circumstances that would have been inconceivable less than a year ago. The debt and deficit numbers are predictably eye-watering – but the gamble is whether they are big enough. The Morrison government is pleading. In particular, it is begging business to chance its hand and invest, so that activity and jobs can be restored ASAP. The incentives being handed to business are enormous. But it all comes down to that elusive necessity – confidence. It’s the old question about horses and whether they will drink when the water is shoved into the trough before them. Equally, the government is also appealing to individuals to spend, and then spend some more. There will be argument about whether it is making this pitch in the most effective way – the accelerated tax cuts have their critics. They’ll certainly give many people more ready cash over coming months. The unknown is whether in these uncertain times the purse strings will be loosened. The modest cash payments for pensioners – two lots of $250 – are also directed to boosting consumption. The first payment is December, nicely timed for some (modest) Christmas presents, to help the retail sector just when it needs assistance. In its subsidy for businesses to hire younger unemployed people the government is acknowledging the recession will particularly hurt this generation. It is imperative to get as many as possible of those thrown out of work back into the labour force as fast as possible. The motive is sound, but how effective the program will be is another matter. Much will depend on whether employers feel confident enough to take on staff. These younger people have to hope the employers respond, because the Coronavirus supplement that has enhanced JobSeeker is […]